⚾️ MLB 6/17: SM Daily Notes 🏟️
Preview of today's action
Hey all! I am trying a new format today where I want to provide you with a bit of insight into each game on the slate. I give you some facts and figures for each match-up and some picks and players to follow.
Let me know what you think and leave any comments or questions below!
Game Previews
⚾️ Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins – [6:10 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Jesus Luzardo vs. Cal Quantrill
Quick Note: Phillies 2nd best OPS over the past week … Marlins 6th worst team ERA over past two weeks
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Max Kepler o1.5 H+R+RBI — Home Run, 4 RBI vs. Quantrill
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Max Kepler ($3,400 DK) — three home runs past week — .857 SLG
Jesus Luzardo ($9,800 DK) — 6 IP, 10 SO vs. CHC last time — 1.29 ERA vs. MIA
⚾️ Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals – [6:45 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Antonio Senzatela vs. Mike Soroka
Quick Note: Nationals are on an L9 … Rockies 4th best OPS. over last 15 games
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Senzatela 7+ Hits Allowed — allowed 7+ in last six of eight games
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Hunter Goodman ($4,000 DK) — .930 OPS on road — has raised xwOBA from .271 to .432 in June
⚾️ Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers – [6:40 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Bailey Falter vs. Casey Mize
Quick Note: Pirates strike out the 5th-most in the MLB. Tigers rank 2nd in league vs. LHP.
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Pirates +1.5 — covered 10/10 … PIT 6-4 in last 10
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Javy Baez ($3,700 DK) — Slashing .318/.400/.545 L7 - .862 OPS vs. LHP
Casey Mize ($8,800 DK) — PIT 5th most Ks in league - Mize 6-2, 2.95 ERA this season
⚾️ Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees – [7:05 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Kyle Hendricks vs. Will Warren
Quick Note: Yankees 11.3% barrel-rate and lead league in WOBACON. Angels 11.4% barrel-rate (best in league)
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Over 9 — Hendricks worst in Whiff % … Warren gives up hard-hit 50%
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Zach Neto ($5,400 DK) — 1.382 OPS in Yankee Stadium … HR and RBI in 3 AB vs. Warren
⚾️ Arizona Diamondbacks @ Toronto Blue Jays – [7:07 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Brandon Pfaadt vs. Chris Bassitt
Quick Note: D-Backs have 5th best OPS last two weeks … Blue Jays 4th best OPS at home this season
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Over 8.5 — Pfaadt 7.90 ERA in L7 … Diamondbacks 4th most HRs on the road
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Eugenio Suarez ($4,700 DK) — 4 HRs last week — 1.500 OPS vs. Bassitt
⚾️ Minnesota Twins @ Cincinnati Reds – [7:10 ET]
Pitching Matchup: David Festa vs. Andrew Abbott
Quick Note: Reds coming off a series W vs. DET … Min is 2-8 L10 and has most road losses in AL
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Reds ML — 7-3 in L10 … 3rd most HRs in past week
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
TJ Friedl ($4,800 DK) — OPS over 1.000 L7 … more walks (12) than Ks (9) last 15 games
Andrew Abbott ($10,000 DK) — 1.87 ERA, 64 SO in 62.2 IP in L15 … elite at limiting hard-hit rate (30.6%)
⚾️ New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves – [7:15 ET]
Pitching Matchup: David Peterson vs. Spencer Schwellenbach
Quick Note: Mets have lost three in a row … Braves looking to bounce back after 10-1 loss to Rockies
🧠 Bet to Consider:
NRFI — Has hit in last 10 games between these teams
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Jeff McNeil ($3,000 FD) — Slashing .360/.448/.760 over the past week with three HRs
David Peterson ($9,700 FD) — 9 inning shutout last time out…2.09 ERA over his past seven starts
⚾️ Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays – [7:35 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Dean Kremer vs. Zach Littell
Quick Note: Rays are on a W4 and are 7-3 in last 10 … O’s are 14-22 away from home
🧠 Bet to Consider:
BAL ML — BAL has won each of their last 10 division night games following a road loss
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Gunnar Henderson ($3,200 FD) — 2 HRs and 1.462 OPS vs. Littell … slashing .385/.448/.462 over past week
⚾️ St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago White Sox – [7:40 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Matthew Liberatore vs. Shane Smith
Quick Note: Cardinals are 3-7 in last 10 … Sox 4th worst OPS over the past week
🧠 Bet to Consider:
STL ML — White Sox have lost 12 night games in a row vs. NL opponents .500 or better
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Willson Contreras ($3,100 FD) — Slashing .292/.393/.583 over the past week
Matthew Liberatore ($9,100 FD) — White Sox have worst wOBA in league this season
⚾️ Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers – [8:05 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Seth Lugo vs. Jack Leiter
Quick Note: Royals bottom of league in barrel % … Rangers are 7-3 in last 10 games
🧠 Bet to Consider:
STL ML — White Sox have lost 12 night games in a row vs. NL opponents .500 or better
• • 🔥 DFS Pick: NRFI - Has hit in each of the Royals’ last 12 road games vs. AL West
Josh Smith ($3,100 FD) — Hitting .419 and slugging .742 over the past week
⚾️ Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs – [8:05 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Chad Patrick vs. Ben Brown
Quick Note: Cubs have best team ERA over past week … Brewers league-worst barrel %
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Under 9 — Cubs’ last 10 home games vs. NL Central has gone under
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Jackson Chourio ($3,600 FD) — Seven game-hit streak with two multi-hit games — .905 OPS over last week
⚾️ Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners – [9:40 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Walker Buehler vs. Bryan Woo
Quick Note: Red Sox win first game without Devers … Seattle 2nd most strikeouts at home
🧠 Bet to Consider:
BOS Lead after 3 Innings — Red Sox have the won the first innings in five of their last six
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Jarren Duran ($3,200 FD) — .896 OPS vs Seattle
Walker Buehler ($8,000 FD) — 1.50 career ERA at T-Mobile Park
⚾️ Cleveland Guardians vs. San Francisco Giants – [9:45 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Slade Cecconi vs. Robbie Ray
Quick Note: SfG is 7-3 in last 10 games … Guardians are 2-8 and worst xBA in league
🧠 Bet to Consider:
Yastrzemski 1+ hit — six-game hitting streak with a .462 OBP
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Mike Yastrzemski ($2,800 FD) — Slashing .381/.462/.524 over past week with elite walk rate (12.9%)
Robbie Ray ($10,700 FD) — 2.09 ERA with 51 SOs in his last 43 innings
⚾️ Houston Astros vs. Athletics – [10:05 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Jason Alexander vs. JP Sears
Quick Note: HOU 5th best OPS vs LHP … A’s have won four in a row and are 6-4 in L10
🧠 Bet to Consider:
HOU ML — Astros have won each of their last eight division games following a loss
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Jose Altuve ($3,000 FD) — Two home runs and 1.276 OPS vs Sears … .845 OPS in June
⚾️ San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers – [10:10 ET]
Pitching Matchup: Randy Vasquez vs. TBA
Quick Note: Dodgers 2nd most home wins this season … Padres worst hard-hit % in league
🧠 Bet to Consider:
SDP ML — Padres have won each of their last six NL night games following a loss
• • 🔥 DFS Pick:
Teoscar Hernandez ($3,900 FD) — 1.159 OPS with three home runs in the past week … slugging .565 on fastballs … Vasquez fastball has a .538 xSLG this season
Thank you for reading and enjoy the action today!
Really like the new format! Very easy to read and informative.